thankfully this isn't SV
Others may be reassured to hear Trump has only a 15% chance of winning, but it terrifies me. In Silicon Valley 15% is a good chance.
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Expected value is calculated the same everywhere.
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I would think it's a good chance because most other chances are usually less than 15% as opposed to a rivalrous chance of 85%?
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a lot of disenfranchised people agree with his message; it'll be much closer than people think.
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@NateSilver538 my thoughts exactlyThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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agreed. Anything more than 0% is terrifying.
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as
@NateSilver538 says, it's about the same chance as losing a game of Russian Roulette. -
And if that's not the best metaphor for the Trump campaign I don't know what is.
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