and the line between "obvious to you" and "delusional" is only drawn by the pen of history
This is sometimes true, but not always. Sometimes insight makes important decisions obvious (to you).https://twitter.com/bencasnocha/status/772551188382310400 …
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Not only. You can test your theories.
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One distinguishing feature of people who do novel things is that choices that seem risky to others seem obvious to them.
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+ the alternatives that look safe to others look like assured losses to them/us/you/hir/harambe.
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with smart people, it's always about 'calculated risk'. If you can answer correctly, what % chance that my idea fails? Uwin@KentBeck
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I agree with your premise btw. Anything "creative" I've done was stone cold obvious to me. Just not to others at first.
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If heads aren't blowing up and faces melting you aren't pushing the limits hard enough.
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And, setting a risk limit. I've watched people destroy themselves because they ignored or had no stop limits.
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great point .. in the words of Peter Thiel: ”Brilliant thinking is rare, but courage is in even shorter supply than genius"
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