One distinguishing feature of people who do novel things is that choices that seem risky to others seem obvious to them.
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Don't simply do things that seem risky. Do things that seem risky to other people, but you know aren't.
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and the line between "obvious to you" and "delusional" is only drawn by the pen of history
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Not only. You can test your theories.
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In 1666 there were things that were obvious to Newton and no one else, but he could prove he wasn't mistaken.
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and there were 100 perpetual motion machine tinkerers that same year. "proving" is a human process that takes time.
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I agree with your premise btw. Anything "creative" I've done was stone cold obvious to me. Just not to others at first.
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with smart people, it's always about 'calculated risk'. If you can answer correctly, what % chance that my idea fails? Uwin@KentBeck
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