And it's easier to trust forecasts we want to believe. Lots of wiggle room in the descr of the methodology:http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-users-guide-to-fivethirtyeights-2016-general-election-forecast/ …
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Methodology explanation is verbose but detail-light; we can't download the model code to see how the odds/maps are being generated.
End of conversation
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