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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 24 Jun 2016

    Trump got a boost in the prediction markets as people realized this shit can actually happen. But only 2%.

    8:36 AM - 24 Jun 2016
    • 52 Retweets
    • 123 Likes
    • Satya Александр Дасаев faraaz 🦊 Mark CoAStAL NLP William Taysom Amir Elaguizy Eli Courtwright Peter Corless 🌎☮ 💛🍦
    14 replies 52 retweets 123 likes
      1. João Eira‏ @joaoeira 24 Jun 2016
        Replying to @paulg

        Likely to wash off as time goes on

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Yago‏ @EdanYago 24 Jun 2016
        Replying to @paulg

        Trump has higher chances in prediction markets then Brexit did. Place your bets.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Manuel Hernandez  🇺🇸‏ @manuelhe 24 Jun 2016
        Replying to @EdanYago @paulg

        does the predictor take the electorate process into account?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies
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      2. nik cubrilovic‏ @nikcub 24 Jun 2016
        Replying to @paulg

        explain utter failure of prediction market in this case? We had polls, all info ..

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Manuel Hernandez  🇺🇸‏ @manuelhe 24 Jun 2016
        Replying to @nikcub @paulg

        all the predictors were in London?

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Charles R. Smith 🔹‏ @softwarnet 24 Jun 2016
        Replying to @paulg

        Yeah but the stock market didn't crash & even some in the green... check SWHC.. oh wait... that's another hot button issue.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. halvarflake‏ @halvarflake 24 Jun 2016
        Replying to @paulg

        The people that participate in prediction markets are kinda out of touch with reality - odds were 4:1 for Bremain 48h ago...

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. tommyjensen‏ @tommyjensen 24 Jun 2016
        Replying to @paulg

        brexit was trading at pretty much nothing a day before the election, why should we trust them on trump?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Jared Cosulich‏ @jaredcosulich 24 Jun 2016
        Replying to @paulg

        prediction markets don't seem to be accurately predicting these events...

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. nik cubrilovic‏ @nikcub 24 Jun 2016
        Replying to @Runspired @paulg

        prediction markets were at 0.85 remain after Sunderland came in

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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