are you refreshing on a daily basis too at this point?
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At least.
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sweet. Just need to go 22% lower and I'll be happy.
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With any luck, predictwise is going to have to increase the visible range shortly.
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chatted about prediction markets for awhile with a campaign manager (at a Vegas blackjack table). he wasn't a huge fan. markets won.
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the only metric to watch in UK is bookies betting odds which were in favor of leave for the past week.
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I looked at e.g. http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/22/bookies-see-the-big-bets-going-for-the-uk-to-stay-in-eu.html … ; in hindsight, see claim big bettors skewed oddshttp://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-06-22/something-strange-emerges-when-looking-behind-brexit-bookie-odds …
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They bet the same for Brexit. Check out
@FiveThirtyEight current prediction. Based on real polls. It's movingpic.twitter.com/S8n8Kob3Uj
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Here's the pre-Brexit chart. Don't underestimate protectionism and anti-immigrant sentiment.pic.twitter.com/cfv7vHdWuT
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Congratulations to Republicans on nominating a virtually unelectable nominee!
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The same people that predicted Remain here in the UK? I'd read those with a grain of salt...
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@GiddeonFox Those the same prediction markets that said Brexit was impossible?Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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not very surprising
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they also gave the Cavs a 4% chance of winning the NBA finals.
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oh it's a shit show unfortunately.
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The warriors were also overwhelming favorites to win the NBA Finals. Just sayin'
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Landslide be comin' at ya, Paul.
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