Read — "I hope Trump doesn't win"
I really hope this election is the counterexample: http://paulgraham.com/charisma.html
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Or maybe your “charisma meter” has survivor bias built in - winners seem more charismatic in retrospect.
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I'd postulate part of what got Trump the GOP candidacy is how dull his opponents were, so your theory may hold for primaries too
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one reason to hope that it might be is that trump's message is anything but carefully calibrated.
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it’s seemed clear to me since about August that Trump will win, for exactly that reason. My surprise is everyone is so surprised.
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Scott Adams (of Dilbert fame) once made the observation that the candidate with best hair wins presidential elections.
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There's a book called "Amusing Ourselves to Death" that agrees with your theory, analyzing back since Lincoln. Very interesting read.
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