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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 20 Oct 2013

    Why there's not a bubble now, in one graph (from http://bit.ly/1i2ElNH ).pic.twitter.com/5qClmtAz4f

    4:14 PM - 20 Oct 2013
    • 640 Retweets
    • 408 Likes
    • Janie Long caitlyn hahn PGD Patti Hansen Hanna Anderson Olivia Nolan Patricia Smith Betty Miller Lisa Gill
    74 replies 640 retweets 408 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Tren Griffin‏ @trengriffin 27 Sep 2014
        Replying to @paulg

        @paulg Charts on why its possible to have increased risk from rising burn rates at the same time as no bubble. http://blog.pitchbook.com/has-the-canary-just-sung-or-are-the-pros-crying-wolf-over-burn-rates/ …

        4 replies 13 retweets 10 likes
      3. Bill Gurley‏Verified account @bgurley 27 Sep 2014
        Replying to @trengriffin

        @trengriffin @paulg chart also doesn't include 2014 (major uptick) and new sources late stage $$ (which is the majority of funding)

        4 replies 3 retweets 12 likes
      4. Bill Gurley‏Verified account @bgurley 27 Sep 2014
        Replying to @bgurley

        @trengriffin @paulg also, I never said there was a valuation bubble -- I just said burn rates and "risks" are quite high.

        6 replies 10 retweets 23 likes
      5. Mike Okhravi‏ @mikeokhravi 27 Sep 2014
        Replying to @bgurley

        @bgurley @pmarca @trengriffin @paulg So you don't think there's a valuation bubble or you're not sure yet?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      6. Tren Griffin‏ @trengriffin 27 Sep 2014
        Replying to @mikeokhravi

        @mikeokhravi No bubble. Read the strand.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. 1 more reply
      1. Zachary Jeans  🤙🏽‏ @ZacharyJeans 27 Sep 2014
        Replying to @paulg

        RT @paulg: Why there's not a bubble now, in one graph (from http://bit.ly/1i2ElNH ). pic.twitter.com/GtYfgD1cVJ #Salesforce

        0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Colin Percival‏ @cperciva 20 Oct 2013
        Replying to @paulg

        @paulg That graph would look very different if it was corrected for inflation though... or rather, for deflation in computing costs.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. Archit Gupta‏ @architgupta 20 Oct 2013
        Replying to @cperciva

        @cperciva @paulg customer acquisition costs remain similar for many classes of Startups.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Josh Wolfe‏Verified account @wolfejosh 28 Sep 2014
        Replying to @paulg

        @paulg Nasdaq has 1/2 components it did in 1999 – 2,500 vs 4,700. But co's in the index are 2x the size on average

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. Jonathan Libov‏ @libovness 21 Oct 2013
        Replying to @paulg

        @paulg @davemcclure There is actually a bubble, but it’s a bubble bubble: A bubble of people thinking that there’s a bubble.

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2. Wayne Dixon‏ @waynedixon 20 Oct 2013
        Replying to @paulg

        @paulg @parislemon But I believe there’s a bubble, my make believe graph that’s based on nothing tells me so. Therefore, we’re in a bubble.

        2 replies 2 retweets 1 like
      3. 2 more replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael Horowitz‏ @mahorowitz 20 Oct 2013
        Replying to @paulg

        @paulg $$ value a bad metric given lower startup cost today - surprised to see # of deals lower too but I suspect it doesn't include seed

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. Andrew Brackin‏Verified account @brackin 20 Oct 2013
        Replying to @paulg

        @paulg vc's are saying that every company is getting funded and there's too much capital in the market. The data says otherwise evidently.

        1 reply 1 retweet 0 likes
      3. Jack Gavigan‏ @JackGavigan 20 Oct 2013
        Replying to @brackin

        @brackin @paulg Back in '99, one paid £0,000s for servers, database license, etc. Cost of doing a startup is now a fraction of what it was.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. 1 more reply
      1. Rachel Weidinger‏ @rachelannyes 29 Sep 2014
        Replying to @paulg

        @paulg @sfslim That graph is not in that link. Maybe Y axis units were originally mislabeled, corrected after your post?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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