Talked to a programmer today who said AI coding tools made him about 10x more productive. Though 10 seems like a round number, this was an attempt at a precise estimate.
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If that kind of increase in productivity were the norm, it would make starting a startup qualitatively different, because you could do with 8 programmers what would have taken 80, and a company with 8 programmers is much easier to fund and run than one with 80.
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Maybe 10x isn't in fact the norm now. It sounded on the high side to me. But if it isn't, just wait a year.
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Maybe what AI eliminates is not programming jobs but middle management jobs, because companies can be so much smaller that they don't need so many layers of management.
That’s very interesting. We might start to see more flat companies and higher revenue per employee.
Human connection can never and should never be replaced. There will always be a position serving others 🤩
I couldn't agree more! With AI, companies can automate tasks and processes, reducing the need for middle management. This means more efficient and agile companies that can adapt to change quickly.
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Best value add is in the ‘I-know-what-I-need-to-do-but-forget-the-specifics’ for tasks like writing scripts etc. AI as a help has been a game changer. But coding is easy, software engineering is insanely hard
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They /NEVER/ needed that many layers of management. The layers of management were a consequence of human nature and incentives, neither of which is changing.
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AI makes people more efficient, but I don't see mid-management jobs being displaced soon.
Mid-management is the communication layer of the organization.
Having worked in management consulting for 8 years, mid-management communicates leadership vision and goals to the tactical… Show more
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I don’t think it eliminates. I think it elevates. Just my opinion after being allowed to enjoy it after not being given access to it for months.
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Hands on programmers who can plan and take technical decisions are enough.
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