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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg Mar 17

    Paul Graham Retweeted Sam Ro  📈

    The remarkable thing is not just how mistaken these reporters seem, but how sure they are of themselves. It must be a general reporter m.o. always to speak with certainty. Usually they get away with it, but when talking about startups this trick can blow up spectacularly.https://twitter.com/SamRo/status/1372132647795851272 …

    Paul Graham added,

    0:50
    Sam Ro  📈Verified account @SamRo
    what they were saying about Amazon in 1999 $AMZN pic.twitter.com/yFn8cG8ONl
    7:15 AM - 17 Mar 2021
    • 390 Retweets
    • 2,372 Likes
    • clint Carl Youngblood Marc Ward Dark Raod Senhor Brilhante n0 Matthew Riddett Jakob Dalgaard Sandeep
    111 replies 390 retweets 2,372 likes
      1. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg Mar 17

        Another topic that makes fools of reporters is epidemics. And startups and epidemics have something in common: exponential growth. Maybe we need to add an asterisk to the reporters' playbook: Drop the certainty when predicting the outcome of exponential growth.

        48 replies 57 retweets 828 likes
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      2. Gurany‏ @Colton29101923 Mar 17
        Replying to @paulg

        This is even betterpic.twitter.com/UzCcUQPoTw

        2 replies 1 retweet 17 likes
      3. $SOL Maverick‏ @coinmaverick Mar 17
        Replying to @Colton29101923 @paulg

        lmao tag him

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Nikhil Goel‏ @ngoel36 Mar 17
        Replying to @paulg

        Very much applicable in both directions

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Hrishi Mittal‏ @hrishio Mar 17
        Replying to @paulg

        The most remarkable thing is they pay no price for their mistakes. They carry on spewing nonsense with the same certainty. No apologies, no corrections, no humility.

        1 reply 0 retweets 13 likes
      3. BrightSide‏ @TSLA_Rex Mar 17
        Replying to @hrishio @paulg

        i bet that a lot of ppl listened to those "reporters" nonsense, and decided against buying into amzn stock.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. kernicus‏ @kernicus Mar 17
        Replying to @paulg

        I wonder how many people decided not to invest from that report?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Fred Simmons‏ @fsimmons Mar 17
        Replying to @kernicus @paulg

        In fairness to 60 Minutes, the stock was ~$90 around the time of that report and cratered down to under $10 a few years later (9/11). It took 10 years for it to reach $100 again. So, it’s kinda like dunking on people who said cell phones were too pricey to own in 1988.

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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