If a simulation is trying to predict the behavior of a simple mechanical system, it's probably accurate. If it's trying to predict the behavior of a biological system, or any other complex system, it's probably not.
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Simulations of complex systems don't provide useful predictions. They provide useful cautionary tales that temper our expectations regarding prediction.
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Replying to @JohnDCook
Are there any exceptions? Are there any simulations of complex systems that have turned out well? Is there a pattern to which turn out well?
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Replying to @stucchio @JohnDCook
He must mean more than a tautology...
10:55 AM - 12 Mar 2021
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