What do you think is the probability that humanity at some point creates a world with: • <1% in poverty by today's standard • factory farming <10% of today's level • flat or declining greenhouse gases • no net deforestation • population >3b • life expectancy >100 globally?
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what's wrong with those goals?
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I don't think economists have the right cost of climate change. The tail risk is too high IMO.
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At first I thought "you're an optimist!", but then was thinking that actually, most goals don't look impossible. In fact, I think the most difficult would be <1% in poverty, even though great progress has been made.
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100%, subject to each deadline!
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