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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    1. Max Roser‏Verified account @MaxCRoser 12 Dec 2020

      Around half the US population says that they are worried to be killed by terrorists. The annual probability for an American to die in a terrorist attack during this period was 0.000051% [http://ourworldindata.org/terrorism ]pic.twitter.com/t3GKCeNSo7

      43 replies 146 retweets 547 likes
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    2. Max Roser‏Verified account @MaxCRoser 12 Dec 2020

      The countermeasures against terrorism – including the ‘war on terror’ – were extreme: It cost trillions of dollars, killed tens of thousand of people, made millions to refugees, reduced civil liberties, legitimized intrusions into privacy. And it failed entirely to reduce fear.

      10 replies 40 retweets 162 likes
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    3. Max Roser‏Verified account @MaxCRoser 12 Dec 2020

      This looks unfortunately like a huge success for the terrorists. As Scott Atran says “Perhaps never in the history of human conflict have so few people with so few actual means and capabilities frightened so many.” [https://www.harpercollins.com/products/talking-to-the-enemy-scott-atran?variant=32128655097890 …]

      6 replies 13 retweets 115 likes
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    4. Max Roser‏Verified account @MaxCRoser 12 Dec 2020

      As to the risk of dying from terrorism, Americans were extremely unlikely to die from terrorism before the war on terror, since then the share who died from terrorism has slightly increased, but it is still extremely rare. [data (incl. for all countries) https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-of-deaths-by-cause?time=1990..2017&country=~USA …]pic.twitter.com/wAWoEWAesy

      3 replies 4 retweets 37 likes
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    5. Max Roser‏Verified account @MaxCRoser 12 Dec 2020

      In 2016 Americans were asked whether they agreed with the statement that “ISIS is a serious threat to the existence or survival of the United States”. 25% agreed somewhat and an additional 52% agreed strongly. In total 77% agreed with this statement. [https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep24891.7?seq=4#metadata_info_tab_contents …]pic.twitter.com/EPLogeFjrs

      8 replies 9 retweets 48 likes
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      Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 13 Dec 2020
      Replying to @MaxCRoser

      Such groups are in the sense that they could cause the US to make disastrous foreign policy errors.

      2:27 AM - 13 Dec 2020
      • 8 Likes
      • Heikki Vuolteenaho Samizdat Dev Chhatbar 🚀 𝕯𝖗𝖆𝖌𝖔𝖓 𝕲𝖔𝖉 🚀 Joshua Sherlock JmsDnns Richard Hanania Daniel Leslie
      4 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
        1. Marcel Weiher  🇪🇺‏ @mpweiher 13 Dec 2020
          Replying to @paulg @MaxCRoser

          Presumably “are dangerous in the sense”. Yes, yes, and emphatically yes! And it is important to recognise that that is the *only* way they have of harming the US and other western democracies.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Arnar Sigurdsson‏ @arnarfjodur 13 Dec 2020
          Replying to @paulg @MaxCRoser

          They don't actually cause policy. They may be the justification for it.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Luke Hartsock‏ @luke_dawgfan 13 Dec 2020
          Replying to @paulg @MaxCRoser

          Terrorism might be a form of theater. A performance done with maximum visibility to irrationally heighten fear & anxiety; even with the minimal resources terrorists have. Which exaggerates a minority world view thru fixation. It's not a cause as much a story terrorists unfurl.

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        2. Jugurtha Hadjar‏ @jugurthahadjar 13 Dec 2020
          Replying to @paulg @MaxCRoser

          Look at: "We have to get the timeline right here. First of all, what you know today can affect what you do tomorrow but not what you did yesterday, and so we did not know at the time of the invasion that there were no stockpiles of weapons of mass destruction." - Condoleezza Rice

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Jugurtha Hadjar‏ @jugurthahadjar 13 Dec 2020
          Replying to @jugurthahadjar @paulg @MaxCRoser

          https://youtu.be/AdrWvZkEFmk?t=174 … With judgment like this and "changing the narrative" about certainty of WMD stockpiles, they don't need help from the outside to make disastrous errors. They'll do just fine no matter the situation in making situations worse.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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