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Electricity storage technologies are among those technologies that are following steeply declining learning curves. Each doubling of installed capacity is associated with the same relative reduction in price. Source: https://www.nature.com/articles/nenergy2017110 …pic.twitter.com/Cn7a5BsnCJ
This just gave me an idea for something you could do. I'd recently been thinking about how there will be a Moore's Law for carbon removal. Perhaps you could have a section of OWID devoted to approximating the Moore's Laws of different fields.
I’m a big believer in this idea. The rates would have to be adopted (if not set) by their respective industrieshttps://twitter.com/austnryder/status/1228267872243220480 …
Yes, it's a very long-standing ambition of mine to do exactly that. But in the past years we never had the resources to do that cause it requires a lot of careful work. We definitely want to do this though. There was once a great project by the Santa Fe Institute that did…
that did just that. It is still online here: http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ Unfortunately it hasn’t been maintained in recent years.
Doyne Farmer, @FrancoisLafond4 & colleagues at Oxford are doing this work and a tiny project some time ago was to make some of their data available as…
This is a great idea, @paulg. I wanted to put your attention on the company @CarbonEngineer that uses its prop. Direct Air Capture technology to sequester CO2 out of the atmosphere to transform it into fuels:
https://carbonengineering.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/c9se00479c.pdf …
It would be particularly interesting to see a single graph with all the improvement curves on it.
That'd be awesome!
Perhaps you mean the Wright’s law of different fields, of which Moore’s law is an instancehttps://ark-invest.com/wrights-law/
It’s not subject of a specific “Moore’s law” style prediction, but the cost of DNA sequencing would make a great addition to this plot. Strong contender for largest, fastest ever improvement in a technology.
Swanson's law in most fields but yeah it would great to swap graphs easily on that a build an intuition across innovations.
so if there's a Moore's Law for carbon removal, how much longer till we get to the equivalent of.....2007 in chip cost and speed? where are we now?
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