Now the betting markets finally agree with 538 that Biden has a 90% chance of winning. They take a lot more convincing. A 90% chance means news organizations are on the verge of calling it.
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In a normal year it would have been called for Biden by now; the 10% chance is due to Trump's shenanigans
I don't think the NYT is letting themselves be affected by any schemes Trump has planned. I wouldn't call it yet, based on the numbers we have.
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On a normal Tues night election, they call em with less data than we have right now Biden needs 53% of PA mail-in ballots in his favor and has gotten 79.8%, it seems pretty safe But mail-in ballots themselves are a wild-card that we don't know wellhttps://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-election-scraper/battleground-state-changes.html …
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