Twitter polls are meaningless and completely dependent on the OP's politics. I've seen a million polls from fintwit calling the exact opposite.
The split here is roughly 70-30, which is a little better for Biden than betting markets currently say, but not much.
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I'm voting e)
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If they need to balance their liability, they will move the juice one way or the other. Agree betting markets are good indicators though.
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How did the betting markets fare in 2016? My memory is that they were wrong like the polls.
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He's referring to the Twitter poll results, not to any models
End of conversation
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Betting markets in 2016 had Trump at 10%, while 538 had Trump at 30%. This year it’s reversed. Any thoughts on that?
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Sometimes you write very silly things
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