Trump will receive 46% again, but substantially < white, materially > Hispanic, Black, gay & Jewish voters, very inconsistent w narratives.
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46% can easily translate to 189 to 288 electoral votes. But Trump is closing better than Biden.
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The polls were off by 1% in the states that mattered. Biden's lead is double that of Hillary's and he's popular in the rust belt so it should be a blowout. Only fear is all of the people who are embarrassed to publicly say they support Trump.
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Biden should win, but Trump is getting close in PA, AZ and he should win FL, NC and Iowa. Leaves GA as an unexpected wild card.
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I think PA will determine the race.
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I'll take the other side of that. 350+ electoral college for Democrats, and 55+ Senate.
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