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A challenging question: Start with the number 128 and keep halving it until you reach the number 2. Now do the same thing again but starting with the number 4096. Which took longer?https://twitter.com/cjsnowdon/status/1321595761029763074 …
If you have R of Rl during lockdown and Rw during non lockdown then the total number of infections is the initial # times Rl to the power of the number of infectious cycles in lockdown times Rw to the power of # infectious cycles out of lockdown. Which comes first does not matr
One way I look at this is the Botlzmann distribution, population density (of particles) at energy levels. I look at a neon light and think about this pandemic.
Boltzmann*
You don’t need evidence for math, but you do need evidence that the math applies to your situation.
COVID-19 is a mathematical object?
Yes, but which math ? * assume complete isolation for (e.g. 30) days. (zero human contact that is not HAZMAT-suited) -> and it doesn't matter how many cases you started with. * assume 20% of the population will disregard the lockdown. -> and it doesn't matter how long it is.
Isn't that proof by example?
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