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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    1. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 22 Oct 2020

      The glee about Quibi's failure seems to me misguided. Startups are hard. There's no honor in applauding when they fail. To me it's impressive that people so established would undertake a project so risky. Especially considering the probable reaction if they failed.

      182 replies 354 retweets 3,447 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Michael Seibel‏ @mwseibel 25 Oct 2020
      Replying to @paulg

      I think a lot of people are reacting to perceived wastefulness. Could Quibi’s investment dollars have been distributed to 1000 hypothetical startups instead? What would these teams have built and how much impact could those products have on the world?

      11 replies 5 retweets 131 likes
      Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 25 Oct 2020
      Replying to @mwseibel

      Surely as someone in the venture business you must realize that this is an illusion, and that not just in startup investing but in any form of high-risk investing it's almost a mathematical certainty that a huge amount of capital will inevitably be "wasted."

      6:58 AM - 25 Oct 2020
      • 4 Retweets
      • 75 Likes
      • Anshul Modi Denny Ben Dodson Viktor Bunin Raj Kunkolienkar 🦁 Sanjai kutty ✨ Chris Field Zeeshan Zia Do It Yourself Guy
      10 replies 4 retweets 75 likes
        1. hug dealer‏ @caviar_latke 25 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @mwseibel

          Surely as someone in the venture business you realize the benefit of taking more shots on goal?

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Can Babaoglu‏ @CanBabaoglu 25 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @mwseibel

          I personally have reacted to trying to scale before you proved product market fit. It is both a very amateur and arrogant at the same time.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        2. Rob Hunter‏ @robfoot 25 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @mwseibel

          Portfolio 1: $1.75M into 1,000 companies (w/the ability to invest more if successful) Portfolio 2: $1.75B into 1 company Surely the former is automatically preferable, no? I think it’s reasonable to be frustrated by the funding of #2 instead of #1

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 25 Oct 2020
          Replying to @robfoot @mwseibel

          Of course it's not automatically preferable. It depends which companies they are. If it was automatically preferable, late-stage investing wouldn't exist.

          1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Divyam Balani‏ @divyambalani 25 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @mwseibel

          Wouldn’t you say it’s only “wasted” if we don’t learn anything from it

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Michael Stratton‏ @Mastratton 25 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @mwseibel

          I think it’s the combination of wastefulness and hubris of the founders. The core innovation(short episodes) could have been tested with significantly less money and much earlier on. Thus it felt like a wasteful pet project of some old execs

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Dylan‏ @dylangans 25 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @mwseibel

          If they didn’t raise SO much money could they have tested some core hypotheses (content, consumption method) for less? Maybe they would have shut it down earlier with less money spent or pivoted and found product / market fit.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Michael Seibel‏ @mwseibel 25 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg

          Most intelligent people in the startup community (including myself) are not critiquing the venture model. They are critiquing how Quibi choose to spend their venture investment dollars. I think that is not only fair but important lessons can be learned.

          3 replies 3 retweets 35 likes
        3. Max Cantor  🛩  🏋️‍♂️  🏝️ 👨‍🎓‏ @maxcan 25 Oct 2020
          Replying to @mwseibel @paulg

          Is it really a startup when your friends and family round to start the company raises $1B? I think that’s the source of a lot of the schadenfreude

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Bilal Mahmood‏ @bilalmahmood 25 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @mwseibel

          I think the critique (consciously or subconsciously, deserved or undeserved) is the perceived hubris associated with the sheer amount of capital raised pre launch or any market validation.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Jason Shen‏ @JasonShen 25 Oct 2020
          Replying to @bilalmahmood @paulg @mwseibel

          Rarely has there been so much money raised pre-launch of a product followed by such a fast failure. Katzenberg & Whitman are also incredibly wealthy and neither are central figures in the “startup community” and thus there’s less empathy.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation

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