At what age, when you choose to defer starting a startup because you need to get more experience, does the probability that you're lying to yourself cross 50%? Jessica thought 26. I thought 24. But somewhere in the mid 20s probably.
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It depends on the type of business. There a lot of successful founders under 30 who has b2c products which means targeting young people and faster customer lifecycle. For b2b side you might be right.
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Maybe because of leveraged relationships that have been built over time with B2B - Trust, Reputation, Credibility?
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Is market cap the most appropriate measure of success? Isn't a market of dozens or even hundreds of smaller companies within a segment far more vibrant and potentially innovative(not to mention better for consumers) than megalithic corporations that dominate multiple segments?
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Your measure is relevant, but so is
@paulg’s. Both measures give insight into the problem, so one measure is not more ”appropriate” then another. Which of smaller vs larger companies are more innovative is a harder question to answer. But if we’re talking impact, then largecorps - Show replies
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Not weighted by market cap but I’d feel much more at ease knowing I had a 20/30% probability of millionaire success that <1% chance of billionaire success
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The expected value is 300k vs 10 million.
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Wow, did totally not know this. Read so much of trad. media saying that older people (30 - 40+) was the age to maximize chance to build a successful company. I guess my mistake was listening to traditional media once again.
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Can you explain further?
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Amazon was in bezos 30s?
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I've seen the same, in studies like this: https://hbr.org/2018/07/research-the-average-age-of-a-successful-startup-founder-is-45 … Is there public literature showing the distribution of the market cap-weighted age of startup founders? (Saying this as someone contemplating get a few more years of experience before building a company)
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