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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    1. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 13 Oct 2020

      At what age, when you choose to defer starting a startup because you need to get more experience, does the probability that you're lying to yourself cross 50%? Jessica thought 26. I thought 24. But somewhere in the mid 20s probably.

      135 replies 104 retweets 1,399 likes
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    2. Ivo Georgiev‏ @Ivshti 13 Oct 2020
      Replying to @paulg

      I generally agree but aren't most successful startup founders 30+?

      8 replies 0 retweets 15 likes
      Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 13 Oct 2020
      Replying to @Ivshti

      Not weighted by market cap.

      5:17 AM - 13 Oct 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 40 Likes
      • Alvin Hsia Lakshman Mody Jeremy Einhorn Bruce Vang hd91h3bf Coinline Brandon Thomas Konark Sharma Paul Pajo 🧢 [Jan/3➞₿ 🔑∎] #Insulin4All {#HODL}
      12 replies 1 retweet 40 likes
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        2. Eyüp Poyraz‏ @EyupPoyraz 13 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @Ivshti

          It depends on the type of business. There a lot of successful founders under 30 who has b2c products which means targeting young people and faster customer lifecycle. For b2b side you might be right.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Mr. Hackathon‏ @dominiconorton 13 Oct 2020
          Replying to @EyupPoyraz @paulg @Ivshti

          Maybe because of leveraged relationships that have been built over time with B2B - Trust, Reputation, Credibility?

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
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        2. Daniel Ray‏ @workedntheory 13 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @Ivshti

          Is market cap the most appropriate measure of success? Isn't a market of dozens or even hundreds of smaller companies within a segment far more vibrant and potentially innovative(not to mention better for consumers) than megalithic corporations that dominate multiple segments?

          2 replies 0 retweets 18 likes
        3. heatdeathx‏ @heatdeathx 13 Oct 2020
          Replying to @workedntheory @paulg @Ivshti

          Your measure is relevant, but so is @paulg’s. Both measures give insight into the problem, so one measure is not more ”appropriate” then another. Which of smaller vs larger companies are more innovative is a harder question to answer. But if we’re talking impact, then largecorps

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Jonathan McDonnell‏ @highyieldlife 13 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @Ivshti

          Not weighted by market cap but I’d feel much more at ease knowing I had a 20/30% probability of millionaire success that <1% chance of billionaire success

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Gyanendra Mishra‏ @_gyani_ 13 Oct 2020
          Replying to @highyieldlife @paulg @Ivshti

          The expected value is 300k vs 10 million.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. heatdeathx‏ @heatdeathx 13 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @Ivshti

          Wow, did totally not know this. Read so much of trad. media saying that older people (30 - 40+) was the age to maximize chance to build a successful company. I guess my mistake was listening to traditional media once again.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Bill McNeely 🚚‏ @billmcneely 13 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @Ivshti

          Can you explain further?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Mine and Dine‏ @gitzalytics 13 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @Ivshti

          Amazon was in bezos 30s?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Will‏ @thorbjorn444 13 Oct 2020
          Replying to @paulg @Ivshti

          I've seen the same, in studies like this: https://hbr.org/2018/07/research-the-average-age-of-a-successful-startup-founder-is-45 … Is there public literature showing the distribution of the market cap-weighted age of startup founders? (Saying this as someone contemplating get a few more years of experience before building a company)

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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