There’s good reason to believe that many of the dramatic changes coming to the climate and biosphere will be stepwise, not gradualhttps://twitter.com/dwallacewells/status/1312121745927598080 …
This also seems to be true of aging, of the decay of abandoned buildings, and of the decline of civilizations. Maybe it's true of decline in general.
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Percolation theory explains phase changes in a lot of these phenomena.
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Yes, it also seems to be the case for power grid failures and for mass extinctions in the fossil record
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Not true of radioactive decay though. I think it requires a non-linearity of the underlying structure. Things gradually wear down until something important breaks.
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