I asked an infectious disease expert I know when things will be completely back to normal, as in flying on planes without masks back to normal. His answer: 2024.
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What makes him so optimistic
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They should just publish the model and projections. It is basically a growth function with some assumed variables. If somebody can do a basic website with graph and different sliders, that will be educational.
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@nntaleb might disagree - Show replies
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Maybe we should survey a larger population and grow that n size! (Or create a site with epidemiological “recipes” where assumptions are the ingredients, and when an epidemiologist publishes a “mix” others may comment, upvote. Restrict access to epidemiologists.)
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Yes and place bets!
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