My go-to predictor of success is how fast people move on important opportunities
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Possible that speed was less important in the time of Newton and Darwin than it is in the modern world?
People's sense of scientific priority was already pretty acute, especially by Darwin's time. Those two were just unusual.
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In a field like Physics/Math where the steady state of research is to be completely stuck, I would argue the predictor is the resilience to keep mapping the opportunity space. Once you find a good opportunity most will be fast to jump on it.
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