My go-to predictor of success is how fast people move on important opportunities
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The sooner, the better
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Adding Leonardo da Vinci, Michelangelo. They spent decades to think, sketch, make, discard, jumping across projects before moving forward. Always learning.
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I immediately thought of darwin mail and newton mail apps
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Counterpoint: last mover advantage. As Peter Thiel points out, you want to be the last operating system (Microsoft). Study the first mover's mistakes without incurring the same capital costs.
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In your example space, isn't Linux the last mover? Even Microsoft has finally joined the Linux live with WSL, right?
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Possible that speed was less important in the time of Newton and Darwin than it is in the modern world?
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People's sense of scientific priority was already pretty acute, especially by Darwin's time. Those two were just unusual.
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Darwin I totally get, I mean why pick tortoises, they're so slow? But apples fall pretty quickly.
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Move fast on reversible actions Move slower on irreversible actions
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Darwin must have come pretty close to not getting credit. Anyone reading e.g. Philip Gosse's Omphalos, published in 1857, could have known that something like evolution must be true. If one or a few people had thought of natural selection, they could have published first.
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