Let's change the question. Who among well-known figures is unusually good at predicting the future, and what traits do they have in common? And who do you personally know who seems to have a gift for it?
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Replying to @ClaireBerlinski
Any consistently successful startup investor is good at predicting the future, because that's what the job consists of. Traits the good ones have in common: optimism, curiosity, independent-mindedness, willingness to question assumptions, including their own.
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Replying to @paulg @ClaireBerlinski
The same applies to any consistently successful hedge fund manager, no?
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
All investors do in the trivial sense of predicting the future price of some asset, but the degree to which those predictions depend on interesting predictions about the world varies greatly. Some hedge funds do no more than predict a stock price half a second from now.
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