Several of the people I follow, I followed originally simply because they stood up to mobs. The overlap between these people and the people who were the first to warn about the coronavirus is remarkable.
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While everyone else was going with the flow and thinking the coronavirus was just a Chinese problem, or that masks didn't matter, these people were saying "Uh, wait a minute, the data says..."
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So while I used to think mobs were a purely negative phenomenon, I now realize they have real value: they help you discover people who are independent-minded enough to see what others miss, and courageous enough to talk about what they see.
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Yes, it's better to be wrong than to be irresolute.
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Poison was the cure?
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We did not use to need mobs to see them. Something else has broken
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Sometimes it is the people no one imagines anything of, who do the things that no one can imagine.
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The fact that someone as skilled and capable as you is willing to publicly declare this says a lot about your intellectual honesty. Thank you PS: Mob is a word that carries some negative connotations
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Yeah it's almost like life is complex and doesn't follow broad generalizations?
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@EricRWeinstein has a very similar riff on this. Essentially, the sort of person who is crucified for rejecting the mob view in one area is likely to have interesting views in other areas.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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How do you distinguish them from bloviating, shameless idiots who happened to get lucky on one of their many predictions?
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Good question. Do they (1) speak in probabilities rather than certainties, (2) acknowledge good arguments from the other side, (3) have novel ideas on boring topics, (4) have skin in the game (a la
@nntaleb)
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