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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    1. Noah Smith  🐇‏Verified account @Noahpinion 16 Jun 2020

      Let's check in with Sweden, the Control Grouppic.twitter.com/ikUGHANAFZ

      173 replies 2,379 retweets 7,820 likes
      Show this thread
      Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 17 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Noahpinion @MaxCRoser

      The control would be even worse. They took some measures, just not complete lockdown.

      1:42 AM - 17 Jun 2020
      • 5 Retweets
      • 122 Likes
      • Will Young Patrick Curtis Isabel Diogo🇵🇹 Corey Moore CuteLilVoodooDoll - never give up no matter what! manhattanbeachproject Scotty 🇺🇸🐐 Daniel Morgan 🧢 tobolono
      5 replies 5 retweets 122 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Max Roser‏Verified account @MaxCRoser 17 Jun 2020
          Replying to @paulg @Noahpinion

          True, the Google Mobilitiy suggests that the bevaiour change was less than in the other countries, but a proper control group would have stayed up there at the 0% baseline for the last months. [https://ourworldindata.org/policy-responses-covid …]pic.twitter.com/JrF5MFKhNc

          2 replies 6 retweets 58 likes
        3. This Tweet is unavailable.
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        2. Paul Parsons‏ @Paul_Par 17 Jun 2020
          Replying to @ada_lovela @paulg and

          Hello Ms. June 2020 Twitter account. I was wondering when you'd show up.

          1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
        3. End of conversation
        1. Fran Perez‏ @myztiko 17 Jun 2020
          Replying to @paulg @Noahpinion @MaxCRoser

          Nicaragua could be a candidate for a control group. However, they are not counting cases or deaths

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. New conversation
        2. Antoine Dusséaux 柳华 Антон Дюссо‏ @ADssx 17 Jun 2020
          Replying to @paulg @Noahpinion @MaxCRoser

          True! And actually other Nordic countries didn't implement national lockdowns (i.e. stay-at-home orders) either:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:COVID-19_pandemic_lockdowns …

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Antoine Dusséaux 柳华 Антон Дюссо‏ @ADssx 17 Jun 2020
          Replying to @ADssx @paulg and

          Antoine Dusséaux 柳华 Антон Дюссо Retweeted alexandre afonso

          So maybe Nordic countries as a whole are the control group with social distancing mostly based on recommendations (vs coercion in ES, IT, FR, UK for instance). Probably helped by high public trust in government + high % of remote work BEFORE the crisis:https://twitter.com/alexandreafonso/status/1245070113633681410 …

          Antoine Dusséaux 柳华 Антон Дюссо added,

          alexandre afonsoVerified account @alexandreafonso
          Lockdowns probably don't cause the same level of disruption in every country: in Sweden or the Netherlands, 35% of employed people worked (usually or sometimes) from home in 2018. In Italy it was less than 5% and in Romania less than 1% .https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-eurostat-news/-/DDN-20180620-1 … pic.twitter.com/niYhaHe3ib
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          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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