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It's effectively false to say that talent has a normal distribution, because the response to it isn't constant. This is most visible in sports. If you're a tiny bit faster at the 100 meters, you win the gold medal and lasting fame.
That's interesting, it could be possible there are faster people out there that never cared to try or got the chance to run in that race - perhaps distribution of opportunity might be more apt? No clue how to quantify that though...
This is the bi-product of constrained outcome/single path to victory. Company building has too many variables to be viewed as discretely as this. More important than talent seems to be timing and opportunity provided by network.
Hmm. Speed is an objective measure. The response to speed in the olympics is deterministic. Talent is hard to measure objectively, and much easier in hindsight. Response to talent is not deterministic. IMHO not a normal distribution either. But survivorship bias. NeXT v Apple.
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