yeah but whats the base rate of clustering in the same archives for normal lifespans?
"Supercentenarian birthdates are concentrated on the first of the month and days divisible by five: patterns indicative of widespread fraud and error."https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/704080v2.full …
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I'd love to play with the raw dataset.
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Similar to how the presence of non-random digits in vote counts indicate election fraud: https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://projects.iq.harvard.edu/gov2126/files/beber_scacco_electionfraud.pdf …pic.twitter.com/lKNPpAO5Zg
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maybe Benford law
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Similar thing happened with rural indian boomers. but here it's on one day i.e June 1 the first day of school, where they had to register their birth!!https://m.telegraphindia.com/india/meet-the-june-1-generation/cid/1511767 …
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I haven't looked into it but surely birthdays are a modern concept so for the oldest folk they might only know it was summer so they pick first of July once they first need an official document.
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The gist is that birth certs were almost universally issued for the general population for their contemporaries but did not exist for these supercentenarians.
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A lot of people born in rural places in the 10s and 20s might not have had accurate birth records. It’s a thing you can see with slightly younger folks in countries where birth records and id cards were rolled out much later.
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I’d guess you would really enjoy the path to power by Robert Caro (The first in his LBJ biography series.) I believe he mentions not knowing birth dates for many people in passing.
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