Paul GrahamVerified account

The foolish thing is interviewing an economist about public health/safety and medicine. He’s kind of talking outside of his expertise.

Have you seen any estimates for how many days to herd immunity in the UK? @paulg I've looked, maybe too much uncertainty about current and future R

500? We might not have 50 days of sanity left... aside from economic harm. We need an efficacious, low cost, highly accessible therapeutic that makes CV no worst than a mild flu, if even that. And we need it now. Next maybe a vaccine within a year, though many won’t take it.

If what I’ve read right, most herd immunity models including a high percentage of vaccinated folks, assuming a vaccine is available for a non-evolving pathogen.

And we may never achieve Look to the prevaccination data on recurring smallpox epidemics

FFS. Just admit we know a lot about this virus and nothing about it at the same time. Interviewing people from disparate fields because we are desperate for insight is foolish.