The intellectual <-> activist tradeoff is real IMO. There's a conflict between the styles of thinking that motivate you to pursue a goal with vigor, and the styles of thinking that let you effectively determine the right goal to pursue. Getting both is hard, and this is a problemhttps://twitter.com/bryan_caplan/status/1258618194174115841 …
The Dunning-Kruger effect suggests much of the phenomenon may have a single cause: that stupidity causes both mistaken beliefs and certainty that they are correct.
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Is this suggesting that stupidity is a prerequisite of activism?
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Probably more that ‘smarter’ people are less likely to have such an intense confidence in their ideas. Even some doubt will make you unable to wake up every morning to push your ideology onto others. Fallibilists particularly probably couldn’t do activism well.
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Many very misguided activists are quite smart, at least by standard measures (eg. IQ)!
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But they tend to dismiss the other, (equally misguided?) side as stupid...
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D-K tells us much less than people think - really no more than that inbetween self-assessment of skill, and experimenter assessment of skill, there's a bunch of noise. https://danluu.com/dunning-kruger/
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I alternate between Dunning-Kruger and Impostor Syndrome. But never both at the same time.
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Then if smarter people showed less certainty, we could know which beliefs aren't mistaken!
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