You can make everyone in the world understand one fallacy. Which fallacy do you choose?
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That is a very interesting question. Does it reduce to "what fallacy does the most damage?" And if so, what is the answer? Treating random things as part of one's identity?
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I feel like undoing confirmation bias and its effects would automatically solve for this.
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Can't agree more on this.
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You say this casually, and it was stated casually in one of your articles, but most people don't know and are not willing to know that they don't exist. There's not even an established fallacy for it.
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Availability bias. Like 90% of the news and what gets our attention is based on it, source of a lot of bad policy.
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Too much faith in things that are actually random.
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I see what you did here...
@nntaleb
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Survivorship bias?
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You just destroyed the whole of business journalism & corporate self-help publishing. Good work!
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its even more interesting than that because we a priori assume fallacies must cause damage, but yet our thinking evolved to apply them, so its not that unreasonable to assume that they must have served a purpose in some cases
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Ad hominem. So we can all get back to discussing the issue and nothing but.
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