I thought for sure Sweden was going to face terrible consequences from leaving schools/restaurants/workplaces open. Now I think I was wrong and the Swedish health policy decision makers were right.pic.twitter.com/sT1QsKGkVQ
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And there is remote work in Sweden & other measures that aren't being discussed widely. It's hard to compare numbers with all the correct factors at the moment beside comparing them with your own. But without wide antibody testing, immunity duration, cure, etc, it's a risky bet..
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A tolerable threat it seems. Society accepts a certain level of risk in order to prosper. Seems this is well within that range. We should do the same here.
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Sweden's curve should be steeper...but we will see in a few months how different overall death count will be as other curves will be elongated. Also important to compare effects of lockdowns (ie suicides, drug overdoses, domestic violence, financial, etc.). These go hand in hand
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Also don't forget population size and density matter. Sweden is about double those two countries in size. Density harder to know overall but will be interesting to compare Stockholm and Copenhagen (somewhat similar in size and density) when it's all over.
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Isn’t the whole argument that shutting down just elongates the curve vs a strong spike all at once (until vaccine)- Total death counts don’t matter this early on until we see how the “shut down” countries do as they open up, and then comparing in 6-9mos which strategy was right
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You are the man Paul!
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This is adjusted to population... looks not very good at all.pic.twitter.com/IXTpjlitbD
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One thing has become clear to me: no one controls where the outbreaks occur. The policy a country (or state) holds seems to have much less effect than the social conditions and location. For example, New York has had a more aggressive stance than many states, but suffered more.pic.twitter.com/kZdTODbGzQ
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I'm guessing New York got hit hard due to unusual combination of high density AND high restaurant use.
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