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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 14 Apr 2020

    Inconsistent testing and follow-on effects mean we'll only be able to see the true cost of the coronavirus pandemic in overall death statistics. It is unfortunately all too visible.pic.twitter.com/WazMCwgzIe

    2:01 AM - 14 Apr 2020
    • 70 Retweets
    • 323 Likes
    • gangbv drsong markmiro John Snow Mike Ivanov Naveen Chintamaneni Matthew Donlon Knotologist Gyro Protagonist
    16 replies 70 retweets 323 likes
      1. Puͣkiͧte̍‏ @WHUT 14 Apr 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        Puͣkiͧte̍ Retweeted Puͣkiͧte̍

        How will it play out compared to H1N1 across different geographical regions?https://twitter.com/WHUT/status/1249985920826314753 …

        Puͣkiͧte̍ added,

        Puͣkiͧte̍ @WHUT
        Replying to @rozeggo @LSHTM and 6 others
        Contrast your chart against the H1N1 pandemic chart. which has some historical statistics. Will it be similar in terms of the significant disparity across geographical regions? and why? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_swine_flu_pandemic … pic.twitter.com/EhGF7nL1DE
        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Mate Uzsoki‏ @MateUzsoki 14 Apr 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        We need overall death statistics as you say because everything else can be manipulated. Not testing corrupts both COVID case & COVID death statistics. Here is an article about a possible solution:https://www.ft.com/content/88f993a0-74ed-11ea-95fe-fcd274e920ca?sharetype=blocked …

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. NotSeriouseli‏ @NotSeriousEli 14 Apr 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        You can only know the number of minimum deaths. Few countries reported a spike of illness from “other” respiratory deseases, other counties and regions don’t even count, either on purpose for geopolitical reasons or not bothering to waste tests on the dead. We will never know.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. Ajay Pal Singh‏ @ajaypalsaggu 14 Apr 2020
        Replying to @andrew_i_am @paulg

        That's holidays time.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      3. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. kaputtke‏ @hausaffe_ 14 Apr 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        Also a lot of "covid negative deaths" are caused by covid cause of the constraints in hospitals and the dramatic changes in society

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. ▄▀▄▀▄☯︎RussTy ☠️▄▀▄▀▄‏ @RussTresearch 14 Apr 2020
        Replying to @hausaffe_ @paulg

        ▄▀▄▀▄☯︎RussTy ☠️▄▀▄▀▄ Retweeted ▄▀▄▀▄☯︎RussTy ☠️▄▀▄▀▄

        That could explain the 2310 spike in deaths unrelated to COVID19 in week 14 compared to the previous week.https://twitter.com/RussTballs/status/1249988586281328641?s=20 …

        ▄▀▄▀▄☯︎RussTy ☠️▄▀▄▀▄ added,

        ▄▀▄▀▄☯︎RussTy ☠️▄▀▄▀▄ @RussTresearch
        Deaths in England and Wales with no mention of COVID-19 Week 12 - 10542 Week 13 - 10602 Week 14 - 12912 Week 14 has 2310 more deaths with no mention of COVID-19 than the previous week. What has caused the extra 2310 deaths unrelated to COVID19?
        Show this thread
        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Seth‏ @OurDinnerTable 14 Apr 2020
        Replying to @KujoPainting @paulg

        I'm guessing that's a bad flu season. Maybe 2018 if it aligns with the last bad flu season in the US. If so, then this currently shows the magnitude of a bad flu season. Could get worse.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Show replies
      1. David Jarvis‏ @Venantius 14 Apr 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        The NYT had a similar graphic last week for NYC that showed something like 3K deaths beyond the historic baseline that weren’t attributed to Covid. It’s frustrating to feel like even now the magnitude of this goes under appreciated.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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