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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 7 Apr 2020

    A study of Covid-19's spread in different regions of Italy finds no significant correlation with weather so far.https://blog.insightdatascience.com/covid-19-and-the-weather-data-from-italy-8224aaf978c4 …

    1:30 AM - 7 Apr 2020
    • 152 Retweets
    • 606 Likes
    • Sienna Brennan Diyankheemonikashyap drsong Baptiste Debever 🤖👨‍💻 Lunar Astronomy; Moon' Exploration & Coloniz/ News Swarnajyoti Mukherjee Tiffany Liang Rogerio Senna Amrit Priy
    52 replies 152 retweets 606 likes
      1. Mate Uzsoki‏ @MateUzsoki 7 Apr 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        I was really hoping higher temperatures would change the game. 😦

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. David Silva Smith‏ @DavidSilvaSmith 7 Apr 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        #data where are you at these days? Europe?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Jeremy Ruⓑin‏ @JeremyRubin 7 Apr 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        It seems like all the temps are in the cold to nice range, rather than the "it's freaking hot" side, which is what I've seen suggested might have an impact. There can be some pretty major non linearities. But this does updates ones priors to not expect an easy summer...

        0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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      1. Neil Lewis‏ @Neil_Lewis 7 Apr 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        That's useful analysis - then what stands out in both Italy and Spain (and France) is the high degree of inter-connectedness of those societies - where even if grandparents are in a home, they are visited by all generations of the family many times per week.

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      2. FreeTrade‏ @FreeTrade68 7 Apr 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        I'm most interested to know why SE Asia is so unaffected compared to the west, given its close ties with China.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. econ guy‏ @econguy123 7 Apr 2020
        Replying to @FreeTrade68 @paulg

        And Australia (given that it had robust international seeding from Europe and China).

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. ~cin‏ @biocintra 7 Apr 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        Our lives are indoors with ac or heating systems. If we are not outside, we are inside cars or public transportation There's a large cluster of infections in Manaus, Brazilian Amazon like there's in Singapore. People live in those places do not live in the natural environment.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Brennan Erbz‏ @BrennanErbz 7 Apr 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        What about air pollution?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Armando‏ @armandoisme 7 Apr 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        Empirical observations: 1) Been quite cold in southern Italy recently. 2) Here in Dubai, 30+ celsius past 2 weeks but cases are going only higher 3) It will get to 40+ in a couple of weeks and we'll know for sure...

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Sudhanshu Rathore‏ @hi_sudhanshu 7 Apr 2020
        Replying to @armandoisme @paulg

        Aren't 90% places where humans move in Dubai, Air-conditioned? That's a conducive place for transfer ! Look at the AC duct study of virus Transfer As per @linseymarr Those at ABC, in the back and forth flow of aircon got infected, those at EF did not.pic.twitter.com/UV3Hu1ublJ

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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