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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 30 Mar 2020

    "158 people were registered dead this year by the municipal offices. That is 123 more than the average. Not 31 more, as it should have been according to the official numbers of the coronavirus epidemic."https://www.corriere.it/politica/20_marzo_26/the-real-death-toll-for-covid-19-is-at-least-4-times-the-official-numbers-b5af0edc-6eeb-11ea-925b-a0c3cdbe1130.shtml …

    1:28 AM - 30 Mar 2020
    • 52 Retweets
    • 209 Likes
    • nonEponymous Mike Chowla Simon Boyi Chen Matt Brent Mayberry Kurt Christensen Piyush Makhija David Petersen #ohyeah #learn #infosec #comedic #investing #cyber
    14 replies 52 retweets 209 likes
      1. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 30 Mar 2020

        Perhaps one reason Italian Covid-19 deaths are understated is because individual doctors don't want to make people feel guilty for their whole lives for infecting grandma with it. So they just write "cardiac arrest" without inquiring further.

        26 replies 12 retweets 129 likes
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      1. Concord Management and Consulting LLC‏ @cyberingcc 30 Mar 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        Can we get a mask selfie? :)

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. ರಾಹುಲ್ (rahul)‏ @rahulnischal 30 Mar 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        @PMOIndia @CMofKarnataka can we publish such data this helps to indentify the real death due to #COVID19 . Indian has 25 to 30k deaths per day.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Eve Dmochowska‏ @EveD 30 Mar 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        And yet...(???)pic.twitter.com/isjKPM6P8f

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. AlanHammond‏ @alanhammond 30 Mar 2020
        Replying to @EveD @paulg

        Relying on the fact that everyone is keeping stats up to date in the middle of a catastrophe. Have they even checked that the staff at the stats office are even still at work and updating the data?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Frisco‏ @fasinfoxtrot 30 Mar 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        Frisco Retweeted Luca Dellanna

        similar to what @DellAnnaLuca is seeing in Italy..https://twitter.com/DellAnnaLuca/status/1244538205006774272?s=20 …

        Frisco added,

        Luca Dellanna @DellAnnaLuca
        Replying to @balajis
        If anyone wants to contribute with the mortality data *regardlesa of cause* for his town, I just created this open spreadsheet: http://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VnWi3TP5yEjKoi_CwMxbcaOCLI0ItpqR6Jjna1HYfRA …
        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Frisco‏ @fasinfoxtrot 30 Mar 2020
        Replying to @fasinfoxtrot @paulg @DellAnnaLuca

        Frisco Retweeted Luca Dellanna

        https://twitter.com/DellAnnaLuca/status/1244512727751520257 …

        Frisco added,

        Luca Dellanna @DellAnnaLuca
        ATTRIBUTION OF CAUSE OF DEATH If patient with comorbidities dies of, say, cardiac arrest after having tested positive for COVID-19, what is the cause of death? (thread, 1/N)
        Show this thread
        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. FreeTrade‏ @FreeTrade68 30 Mar 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        Not sure we can extrapolate this to all of Italy as the author suggests. If Nembro was particularly hard hit, we might expect to see less accurate figures here than in other regions.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Nassim Dehouche‏ @ndehouche 30 Mar 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        The "cleanest" and only actionable indicator is the number of ICU admissions. It can be compared across countries (as opposed to testing and causes of death) and it's what matter ultimately, how fast a health system is heading towards collapse.

        1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
      3. Nassim Dehouche‏ @ndehouche 30 Mar 2020
        Replying to @ndehouche @paulg

        But for some reason, data on ICU admissions for COVID19 are hard to find.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies

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