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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
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    1. Max Roser‏Verified account @MaxCRoser 24 Mar 2020
      Replying to @MaxCRoser @paulg @tylercowen

      And because someone rightly complained that the Add Country button wasn’t as prominent as it needs to be, that button is now bigger and blue.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    2. Max Roser‏Verified account @MaxCRoser 24 Mar 2020
      Replying to @MaxCRoser @paulg @tylercowen

      And here is CFR vs median age in the country:https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/case-fatality-rate-of-covid-19-vs-median-age …

      1 reply 2 retweets 4 likes
    3. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 24 Mar 2020
      Replying to @MaxCRoser @tylercowen

      Might be worth making the radius of the circle the log of the total number of deaths. Then it would be easier to ignore the outliers.

      1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
    4. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 24 Mar 2020
      Replying to @paulg @MaxCRoser @tylercowen

      It would be interesting to see this on a log scale too. A handful of outliers are cramming a lot of interesting data into the bottom quarter of the graph. Why not make it a feature of all your graphs to have a button for switching from linear to log on the y axis?

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    5. Max Roser‏Verified account @MaxCRoser 24 Mar 2020
      Replying to @paulg @tylercowen

      Good points! Just changed it: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/case-fatality-rate-of-covid-19-vs-median-age … The size of the circle now corresponds to the total confirmed deaths up to that date. And you can switch any of the axes to log.

      1 reply 3 retweets 15 likes
    6. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 24 Mar 2020
      Replying to @MaxCRoser @tylercowen

      I already learned something interesting. Judging from the data so far, the way countries end up with a lot of deaths is by having a high CFR (rather than having a high population).

      6 replies 0 retweets 22 likes
    7. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 24 Mar 2020
      Replying to @paulg @MaxCRoser @tylercowen

      In fact, Max, how about a scatterplot of CFR vs total deaths? That should show the correlation directly.

      2 replies 1 retweet 6 likes
    8. Max Roser‏Verified account @MaxCRoser 24 Mar 2020
      Replying to @paulg @tylercowen

      Don't know what your prior was, but maybe it's less correlated that you had thought? https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/deaths-covid-19-vs-case-fatality-rate … (By clicking into the timeline you can see the change of both variables over time which shows that not in all countries both measures moved together.)

      3 replies 4 retweets 8 likes
    9. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 24 Mar 2020
      Replying to @MaxCRoser @tylercowen

      There looks like a definite trend to that data.

      4 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    10. Alec Wilson‏ @alecfwilson 24 Mar 2020
      Replying to @paulg @MaxCRoser @tylercowen

      Hard to untangle the causality though - it seems somewhat tautological that more deaths would yield a higher CFR and vice versa

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 24 Mar 2020
      Replying to @alecfwilson @MaxCRoser @tylercowen

      It would be tautological(ish) if it were deaths per capita rather than simply deaths.

      1:24 PM - 24 Mar 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. Alec Wilson‏ @alecfwilson 24 Mar 2020
          Replying to @paulg @MaxCRoser @tylercowen

          That's fair. I think this is still missing something that accounts for the testing coverage of each point though

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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