This 22–32 day estimate must be assuming that the suppression measures are successful in pushing R below 1.0, because if it continues to spread it's going to need at least 45 days to get to the majority of susceptible people in the US.
"Projections presented at noon today estimate that we will reach peak COVID-19 volume within 22-32 days, at which point the NYP system will need 700-934 ICU beds. The lower estimate exceeds our ICU capacity, even with surge construction, HSS and DHK capacity added."https://twitter.com/ColumbiaSurgery/status/1241139303423623168 …
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The healthcare system is using N95 masks in a way consistent with the past (one mask per patient) but not with the present (wave of potentially infected patients). If we construct testing / exam booths like South Korea, we will avoid the need for so many N95 masks altogether
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is chairman of the dept of surgery like the spokesman for the hospital? I don't know how the medical system works, just wondering why he is updating on a non-surgical medical issue?
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A variance of 234 beds projected 3-4 weeks out is like hitting a bullseye a mile away. These sorts of hypotheses demand data. In this case, widespread antibody testing.
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small hurdle for a superpower, you would think
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