Yes. These numbers go out the window if the health care system breaks. Also there are still cases recovering from the Diamond Princess, so the estimate is premature until then. But unlikely to be greater than double based on remaining severe cases.
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The most interesting takeaway here is the large number of cases that are completely asymptomatic.
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I didn’t see anything in the article (haven’t read the paper) to suggest that. As far as I can see, it just says they were asymptomatic at the time of diagnosis, and that some number of them may have gone on to develop symptoms.
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My question would be about age distribution of the n subjects. Are cruises really an "older" activity so the mean age is more than in many countries? I don't know.
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I think that's why they talk about China. They normalized for China's age structure.
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We will see good results coming out of India treatment of the patients. https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/rajasthan-treats-coronavirus-patients-with-swine-flu-malaria-hiv-drugs-2195009 … I hope some of the data and the coordination between agencies of different countries will help whole world .
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Would be interesting to extrapolate these numbers to the US with its age demographics
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wondering how available treatment was on the shop? hospital overcrowding will surely inflate the rate of deadly cases
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How many needed ventilators / significant care? The fatality rate will hinge on that ratio
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