I love how now articles published by Harvard embraced the: (tl;dr) Subtitle
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Why doesn't this happen every time there's a pandemic? (ie, why didn't the Spanish flu or the 68 flu become seasonal?)
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But what could be the explanation behind such few cases in India? If the argument is not enough are being tested, there would surely have been enough deaths to bring this to the limelight. So I'm assuming that the warm and humid weather in the country is playing a role?
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Studies show that the R value decreases with high temperature and humidity. So it's possible that summer brings the R value low enough to only infect a minority. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3551767 …
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Also, flu season seasonality is not as extreme as I thought... 25% seasonal effect is nothing compared to 33% weekly growth.pic.twitter.com/JHwBDu7K0m
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“One degree Celsius increase in temperature and one percent increase in relative humidity lower R by 0.0383 and 0.0224, respectively” https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3551767 …
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Good Morning Paul Have a beautiful and safe Friday








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One of the “mechanism(s) responsible” is the much more detailed climate-disease trend from time-tested 5 Yun 6 Qi theory and practice.
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Each time point marks a change in climate and hence the need for treatment adjustments, among Mar 20, Apr 20, May 20, Jul 20, especially the scenario around April 17 2020 will make virus most conducive to spread.
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Really hope people can learn about this to prevent unnecessary losses!! The same theory forecasted everything (including SARS and swine flu and Wuhan outbreak time windows) so far indeed well.
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