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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 12 Mar 2020

    A friend who is an MD specializing in infectious diseases was told at work today that the US is about 10 days behind Italy.

    7:43 AM - 12 Mar 2020
    • 486 Retweets
    • 2,040 Likes
    • Sandy Skal-Gerlock Catherine Dibble Kasia Hayden Joshua Goins Parth Sheth The Mack Monce C. Abraham Jesse Tinsley Debo Odulana
    94 replies 486 retweets 2,040 likes
      1. DR. KRUPALI  🇺🇸‏ @krupali 12 Mar 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        Yup.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Pranshu_Ag  🔥 👊‏ @Pensive_Pranshu 12 Mar 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        Yeah,11.5 apparentlypic.twitter.com/qcU6APXec9

        3 replies 3 retweets 10 likes
      3. Vanessa Mason‏ @vanessamason 12 Mar 2020
        Replying to @Pensive_Pranshu @PranshuAgarwa13 @paulg

        Do you have the source?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. W_Wrecker‏ @VRBLZR3k 12 Mar 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        Yea. We all know that

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. Can't be blank‏ @mralmondbread 12 Mar 2020
        Replying to @VRBLZR3k @paulg

        But are we flattening the curve yet? We mostly assume dramatic announcements of cancellations and unexpected measures must loom large but their cumulative effect is not additive. We need to push the ball over the line now because we won't see results until it is too late

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Nassim Dehouche‏ @ndehouche 12 Mar 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        At scale?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Karen Replies‏ @kerobinso_repl 12 Mar 2020
        Replying to @ndehouche @paulg

        I mean, just back-of-the-envelope, if we’re 6x bigger than Italy that gives us about another 2.5 doubling-times, right? so at current rates maybe another 6 days? That is not comforting.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Mitch Carl‏ @DFSnDONUTS 12 Mar 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        at scale?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. This Tweet is unavailable.
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      1. New conversation
      2. Satyan Gajwani‏Verified account @satyan 12 Mar 2020
        Replying to @paulg

        Look at it on a per capita basis, not absolute numbers, to understand infections vs hospital capacity (the big risk item). On that basis, Western Europe 9 days behind, US 16 days behindpic.twitter.com/rSoS3kmbNQ

        6 replies 8 retweets 92 likes
      3. Nayantara Rai‏Verified account @NayantaraRai 12 Mar 2020
        Replying to @satyan @paulg

        Where do you get all these amazing charts and stats?!

        2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Show replies

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