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That curve will become misleading very soon simply because testing capability is not ramping exponentially.
Exactly. Spain for instance is not testing properly already
Last 3 days outside China: 8774, 10565, 12668.
South Korea probably got a handle on things. But several European countries at foot of the inflection, just getting started - and then there's the USA wildcard. I can't imagine effective containment in the US in current institutional conditions.
Americans are soon going to find out that a large part of their institutional infrastructure is a bunch of paper cutouts.
Wonder if that is the change from a lot of presumptive testing high risk people (e.g. X with no symptoms who lives with +case Y who flew in from Italy) To using the now limited testing facilities for people arriving into hospital with symptoms but no link - "community spread"
This would reduce the number of positives logged related to existing cases that had no symptoms and were instead found by aggressive 'contact history' testing E.g.wife of positive case, taxi driver of positive case. They had no symptoms and it 'costs' several kits to find them
It is really very, very hard to fully internalize and „understand“ the power of exponential growth within every dimension of life including health & business 
China is proof that lockdown and flight shutdown works, their data asymtotes to minimal growth. UK/US problem is inaction. It's probably the worlds biggest experiment in washing hands. We will see! #COVID19
How does it compare with "regular" flu (preventative vaccine available) Paul? I feel context is what is missing when we hear these numbers.
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