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Even worse with 3.4% death rate of 1.7 million = 57,800 people dead, in such a short space of time. (someone check my maths)
I think it averages at around ~1%. 0.2% for < 40, up to 14.8% for 80+. See herehttps://www.businessinsider.in/science/news/coronavirus-patients-over-age-80-have-a-15-chance-of-dying-heres-the-mortality-rate-for-every-age-bracket-/articleshow/74354310.cms …
Hmm. Clearly we don't have enough data yet. Or at least I don't.
Maybe for places with an intact healthcare system. Would it be an overestimate after the healthcare system breaks down?
There isn't much extra capacity in our healthcare system. And our healthcare workers are used to having decent protections against known infectious agents. The real danger is going to be what happens when people can't get in an ICU and a significant amount of the docs are sick.
Italy has a 3% death rate so far
3.4% is the WHO statistic, and it reflects what happens when the healthcare system is overloaded can’t treat people. it seems possible that it could happen here
3.4% is *BEFORE* health care systems are overloaded. There's no way 20% ICU rate would lead to 3.4% death when there are no hospitals.
People forget that the CDC death rate is 3.4% of *reported* cases.
Yep, probably more like 0.2% - 0.5% I read
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