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exponential growth is very hard to have a gut feel on, because the difference between two exponential models (like 2^x vs 3^x) is itself exponentially growing
Incidentally, it was when I found that even you didn't have a gut feel for it that I realized no one probably did.
Yeah it's very hard for a human mind to grasp. Even for those who understand what an exponential curve behaves and looks like
Is there a method to use in pre-crisis and in crisis analysis ("non gut feel analysis") that calculate various human behaviour (individuals and groups). And altso accelerators (cause and effect). ?
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