I've never met anyone with a gut feel for exponential growth. You always have to calculate it. But everyone in the startup world at least knows never to turn their back on it.
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People aren't surprised when I tell them there are 13,000 Covid-19 cases outside China, or when I tell them this number doubles every 3 days. But when I tell them that if growth continues at this rate, we'll have 1.7 million cases in 3 weeks, they're astonished.
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Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Linear vs Logarithmic thinking
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A way to gain an intuition for this is the book “Singularity is Near”. I know there’s a different agenda to it, but the biggest useful takeaway is nonlinear intuitions.
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Yes exactly - this assumes that no countermeasures to reduce the exponent are taken.
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Here in America it seems we won't have any idea of the real numbers because our testing is so poor.
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