Show me the data.
"'I have never in my years seen an r-squared of 0.99,' Goodman says. 'As a statistician, it makes me question the data.'"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chinas-economic-data-have-always-raised-questions-its-coronavirus-numbers-do-too-51581622840 …
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Yes, there is almost no variance in there (if you exclude the big jump that occurred the 2/12 because they changed their counting method) source: https://coronavirus.app/toll pic.twitter.com/TRLNBlVtcp
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Short term pain. I remain suspicious its the equivalent of a population cull in the least valuable age group. Its unreal it has an effective antiviral therapy upfront thats in production.
#sfpic.twitter.com/Ec4GXnYfQm
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Regressing on the cumulative sum always leads to this high explained variance! That doesn’t mean the numbers are accurate, but they’re not fake for this reason
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The sociology of how information about the virus threat is considered, validated and spread by people of various backgrounds and priors is fascinating. Everyone samples from different credibility networks to estimate the threat. Big updates to source weights coming soon.
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Yeah, I am planning to switch to outside-china data only on my home-brewed COVID19 tracker https://www.coronaviruschart.com/
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