.@prestonjbyrne cool shout-out!
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Why are you listening to someone who admits not knowing what he's talking about in the first paragraph, Paul? Real interest rates (rate - inflation) are negative all the time. There's nothing exceptional about nominal interest rates being negative.
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As
@prestonjbyrne notes, he was involved in the cleanup after the mortgage crisis, which perhaps gives him a a different perspective on the subjects of debt and systemic risk than economists.... economists like Bernanke, who said the subprime meltdown would be contained. - Show replies
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(as previously said to
@prestonjbyrne) only complaint is that NIRP is a lot worse than just cheap debt. cheap debt is a promise to compound capital productively that you probably won't be able to live up to. with NIRP you explicitly intend not to. -
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I don’t think rates will bounce back. Rates might appear higher if they incorporate default risk (look a credit card rates). I think there’s an output gap caused by smaller families and slow productivity and sovereign debt is filling that hole.
@prestonjbyrneThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Ultra low interest rates have been necessary to stave off deflation, which comes with its own problems. The question isn't whether interest rates are too low, but whether big lenders will be allowed to fail in the next crisis. That's a regulatory issue, not a central bank issue.
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Deflation is not bad.
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