Idea: Ask people who don't believe anthropogenic climate change is happening what would convince them that it is, then automatically notify them when that happens.
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You'd learn a lot simply from asking the question. I bet quite a lot of people would say nothing would convince them. And if you offered a menu of choices, some would pick milestones we've already passed.
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It's a very socially unpopular position. So, there's a good chance that they'd talk about statistical significance, correlations with natural phenomena (like sun spots, etc), and be much more educated on the actual science than you'd expect.
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Here’s a great podcast episode about the impact of climate change in CO It’s from 2013 https://www.thisamericanlife.org/495/hot-in-my-backyard …
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We’re stepping out of a Little Ice Age + we didn’t have reliable measurements until 1970 + scientists disagree + politics interfere. Why not simply admit the question cannot be answered at the moment? Also, would you change your mind if in 20 y from now the T has not risen more?
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So, what would convince you?
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“When Donald Trump says it is.”
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Motivated ignorance is one of the most powerful forces in human societies, yet we mostly act like it's a minor inconvenience.
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Most* would pick past milestones.
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Sounds like a good way to “gotcha” those you know to be wrong. Perhaps, to make sure it’s done in good faith, you can start with stating your “endpoints” so that they can told-you-so as well. In case you’re the one who’s wrong.
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