Was talking to Jessica about her judgments of people, and we were astonished to find she'd never had a false positive, in 14 years in the startup world. Everyone she thought was a bad egg turned out to be one.
Show this thread
She's had false negatives – people she thought were ok but turned out to be bad. But if you're going to have error, that's the side you want it to be on.
-
-
I know very few people who are as good at anything as Jessica is at judging character. It is amazing to watch her at work. Only a handful of people have ever seen it though.
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
That feels like the optimistic approach - better to never miss a good person and get burned by some bad ones, than to never miss a bad person and have to make it up to or miss out on some good ones?
-
Whether it is optimistic or not depends on the stakes. You'd better cling to the opposite strategy while risking your life. A bad guy missed may cost you one.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
This makes sense for Ycombinator whittling a start up class, but founders choosing a cofounder need to be much more concerned about false negatives.
-
Yes, interesting point. Another instance of the portfolio effect at work.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Isn’t that called a false positive? And false negative would be thinking someone is bad when they’re actually good?
-
no, Positive means you’re a bad egg. She has a bad-egg-o-meter. so false positive is someone she thought was bad but was actually good
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Surely it's much easier to notice 'bad' in a person you judged as 'good' than absence of 'bad' in a 'bad' person? Basically comes down to it being easy to prove >0 examples of 'bad' in a 'good' person, & ~impossible to prove <1 examples of 'bad' in a 'bad' person...
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
I believe what you describe is false positives and not false negatives! At least from what I understood from my ML classes
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
It sounds as though you *try* to find reasons to reject people. Otherwise I would call that a false positive.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.