Programmers getting their first jobs after school don't do nearly enough research about where would be best to work. Largely, I think, because they're in denial about the inconvenient truth that research is necessary.
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The laziness of new grads is hugely to the advantage of companies like Google, which appears to be the MIT of employers. But there's no such thing. What you want to find is the company that is now what Google was in 1999.
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Figuring out which company is the next Google is a hard problem. There's a whole class of people, known as investors, whose full time job it is. But it's not an insoluble problem. And if you're young and good at programming, you have insights no investors have.
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Really you don’t need to end up at the next google. That’s great if you want to get rich but far more people do fine by taking a job that builds their skills vs taking a job where they cash in. And knowing what will build your skills is an easier problem.
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It's not actually about the money. Getting into a company that proves great will build out your social circle and future opportunity set a lot more than anything else
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Investors have it easy - they know what they want, to get good ROI. Half the problem I faced out of school transcended what different employers offered and into what did I want for myself (which I learned, through trial & error).
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Can look at trends in the industry and see some fledgling markets that can satisfy a big need. Look at examples of the past and see how they grew :semiconductors, PCs, internet, smartphones, search. One I see now growing is related to energy/transport: EV's, Autonomy , Batteries.
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And what do you do if you're not young and are good a programming? Seems like a home then is harder to find.
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New grads are likely to learn far more at a small company where they are given a broader range of experiences than a large company that makes them over-specialise early. If I was graduating now I’d be looking at small startups.
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There is a huge difference though. Programmers (as opposed to VCs) have to "invest their lives" with no way to spread the bets.
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Good VCs always risk their reputation.
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I think many younger techies actually grok the “meta” long before many investors get around to it. The issue is that many won’t hang around once it reaches growth stage because of their expectations in a work environment. It will no longer be meta to them at that point.
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You're right, but I'd probably get into investing if I can accurately predict this.
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