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Version one just tells you about dangerous bits of road. I occasionally find myself on a bit of road that's palpably dangerous. I bet some 100 yard stretches have 1000x as many crashes per car as others. It would be helpful to be warned about these.
Obviously it would not display the probability as a number, but rather beep and/or glow red or something when it crossed a threshold.
Since probabilities would vary a lot more than your course was unpredictable, it would sometimes be able to warn you eerily far ahead of time. If it was good enough, there would be times when it would go off as soon as you got in your car.
Do you want a self fulfilling prophecy? Because that’s how you get a self fulfilling prophecy.pic.twitter.com/3CmICpMzPL
Ah excellent, a distraction when you least need it, great idea Paul !!
I did in HS but I don't remember it well. Did it talk about something like this?
my actual guess is that without a smoothing algorithm it would be useless (the probability is very spiky, changing faster than your reaction time).
but in terms of a UI, the real world model for this is a passenger who screams at you because they are afraid your driving is going to kill them, so imitate that.
Who needs an app when this single tweet solves your problem?https://twitter.com/ryanholiday/status/1110610619185745926?s=21 …
How?
Beeping is more effective than a visual stimulus. When someone is not paying attention to the road, whether lost in thoughts, distracted by something else or dozing off, your mind can still pick a sound associated with danger
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